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Free Money Picks for the 2019 NFL Season! Team and Prop Bet Advice From Fantasy Football Jibber Jabber

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NFL: Let's talk about teasers (Week 4)

6-point Teasers

Our methodology for playing 6-point teasers is:
The strategy listed above is very similar to a strategy introduced by Blackjack expert Stanford Wong. There's debate in Wong teasers over whether we should play games at exactly +3, whether home teams are more reliable than road teams, and whether we should care about the total. I did a deep dive into the mathematical details of those debates in my week 1 post.

Sweetheart Teasers

10-point teasers are often called "sweetheart" teasers. I'm grateful to u/hyperkinesis247 for inquiring if there's an edge regarding sweethearts. After looking at a small sample size in 2017-2019, I've decided to track 10-point teasers according to the following methodology:

Previous Results

I'm using the closing line at Bovada to determine which games qualify as Wong bets. (You can use sbrodds.com to verify I'm being honest.) The plays last week were:
Off-the-board spread 6 pt 10 pt
Chicago +3 Win
Green Bay +3 Win
Kansas City +3 Win
Los Angeles Rams +2 Win Win
Miami +3 Win
Minnesota +3 Win
New York Giants +3 Loss
Assuming a -120 payout for 2-team teasers, we must demonstrate better than 73.9% probability on each leg to show we have breakeven-or-better EV. For a -130 payout on 3-team sweethearts, that threshold is 82.7%. Including last week, the results since 2017 are listed below.
Teaser Year Team Record
6 pt 2017 +1½ thru +3 61-23 72.6%
6 pt 2018 +1½ thru +3 63-19 76.8%
6 pt 2019 +1½ thru +3 52-16 76.5%
6 pt 2020 +1½ thru +3 13-2 86.7%
6 pt 2017 -7½ thru -9 27-10 73.0%
6 pt 2018 -7½ thru -9 16-9 64.0%
6 pt 2019 -7½ thru -9 17-7 70.8%
6 pt 2020 -7½ thru -9 6-1 85.7%
10 pt 2017 +1½ thru +2½ 22-1 95.7%
10 pt 2018 +1½ thru +2½ 24-5 82.8%
10 pt 2019 +1½ thru +2½ 23-4 85.2%
10 pt 2020 +1½ thru +2½ 4-0 100.0%
The chart above counts pushes as losses. You should strongly consider betting at a book that has a "pushes reduce" rule instead.
The reason why my results only count the last three years (2017-2019) is because that's all the time I've had to look at so far. There's no real reason why I'm actively avoiding 2016. I'll be making an effort to look at the 2016 data soon.

Beating the Spread

The thought process behind this methodology is that we assume we will win half of our games against the regular un-teased spread. Then the hope is that we are able to "steal" another 23.9% (or more) via line movement. That'll get us to the required 73.9% win percentage.
Last week's Rams were a perfect example of this.
We believed that the Rams would cover the +2 spread about half of the time. (If you didn't believe this, you should've just bet that game against the regular un-teased spread.) But the reason we chose this game as a teaser candidate is because we realized that +2 would go through 3 and 7 when teased. We gain the most bang-for-the-buck if our teaser movement goes through 3 and 7. As it turned out, the Rams indeed lost by exactly 3.
There's no mathematical reason to believe that we should win against the un-teased spread more than half of the time (nor less than half, for that matter). The data in the three years prior (2017-2019) to this year show that all games fitting our methodology were a modest 155-147-18 against the un-teased spread. That comes out to 51.3% which is not a statistically significant departure from the half that we expect. More importantly, 51.3% is not good enough to beat the usual -110 vigorish.
In 22 games so far this year, the selections fitting the methodology were 16-5-1 against the un-teased spread! This pace is not sustainable. This bit of positive variance is also largely responsible for the astonishingly good 19-3 record in teaser legs. I expect a "regression to the mean" soon and strongly caution people against getting too giddy over three weeks of success. My official advice on Wong teasers remains the same as it has been in previous weeks: inconclusive, until we gather more research.

Line Shopping

However, I know that a lot of people are choosing to ignore my above advice and bet real money anyway. If you do, let me take a moment to talk about line shopping. At the very top of this post where my methodology says to "tease (this team) when the line is (this number)", that's shorthand for "when that team deserves to be at this spread". The reason why the suggestion is to use closing numbers is because it's thought that the closing number most accurately reflects the number of points that team deserves to be getting.
In terms of discussing when different books have slightly different point spreads: suppose that every book in the world has the Bears at +2½ but your book is listing the Bears at +3½ for no apparent reason. If you were intending to tease the Bears at +2½ all along, then of course you should tease them at +3½. Don't be this meme. If your book is giving you a free point, take it.
That's a different story than if every book agrees that Bears should be at +3½. In that case, that's probably what they deserve and an indication that maybe the quality of talent is not enough to justify the bet.
An analogy is that if I have a rule that says I'll only eat steak if it costs between $15-$50. The logic is that less than $15 would mean that the quality of the meat is unsatisfactory and more than $50 means that I can't afford it.
If a restaurant is offering to sell me a steak at a price of $10, but everyone else in the world thinks that $20 is the fair price for this steak, then I should purchase this steak at the incorrect price. Even though the actual price was outside my rule of $15-$50, the quality of the steak would be satisfactory enough.
On the other hand, if the restaurant is offering to sell me a steak at a price of $10, and everyone else in the world agrees that $10 is the fair price, then it means that the quality isn't to my liking.

This Week

I'm only going to post once per week. Normally, I try to make that post on Saturday evening but I'm forced to move up my timeline when the Thursday game is relevant. As of the time of this post, the Thursday game in Week 4 is not a tracked play but it's close. I'm making this post now to explicitly say that it might become a tracked play, so be aware.
In addition to tonight's game, the tentative list of tracked plays are:
  • Chicago +3
  • Jacksonville +3
  • Las Vegas +3
  • Tennessee +1½
  • Green Bay -7½
I emphasize that the list above is unofficial. Lines may move between the time of this post and kickoff, especially Tennessee! The determining factors are what sbrodds.com says Bovada's line is at time of kickoff and the methodology laid out at the top of this post. If Bovada's spread happens to be a point or so off of the consensus or if they engage in line shading, then so be it.
However I reserve the right to reject Bovada's number in situations where it's obviously wrong, such as a typo causing -8 to turn into -80. In all of my data so far, I've yet to invoke this right. If I ever do in the future, I promise to disclose that information anytime I post tracking results.
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ZCode System Reddit - Review and Discount

ZCode System Reddit - Review and Discount
Why am I writing this? Well, when I stumbled throughout Zcode System for the first time, there weren’t many real reviews around so I thought I’d write one quickly to assist any of you who are in the same position I was.
But be warned, I’ll be going into each the good and the bad points, so if that’s something you might not desire to hear, then you may as well go away now.
I like to update this post each and every so often to go into any cool updates that Zcode has had over the years and, oh boy, brace yourselves, have there been some updates.
Anyway, let’s get on with the ZCode System Reddit review.
Product type: Sports Gambling Investment
Website: zcodesystem.com

So just what is Zcode System anyway?

https://preview.redd.it/xpedjund5jp51.jpg?width=617&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e66981a7cd799948b596edbc4b37b4e1d58d5368
“Zcode System” is a comprehensive sports investing program that is designed to provide you advice on what sports occasions to bet on and which ones to avoid. It does this by examining a massive database comprised of 13 years’ well worth of sports data and spits out its prediction based totally on this evidence.
Zcode gives predictions on all major U.S. sports activities including the NBA, MLB, NHL, and (starting in a couple of weeks) NFL.
For example, today (March 4nd, 2020 when this is being written) the Houston Rockets are enjoying the New York Knicks. Zcode gave the Rockets a 97% chance of winning the game, however this is only a 3 half star bet in accordance to Zcode. Not the worst, but definitely some thing you’ll want to think twice about. Zcode is all about the VALUE of a bet, now not just purely the odds.
It did, however, provide the Under 230.5 points bet a 63% of hitting. Now this guess is a 5-STAR RATING! This is the highest rating that Zcode offers and means that there is immense cost in this bet.
Analysis like this is given on every game.
Click here for the Official Zcode System Website.
I’ve tried pretty a few “sports investing systems” over the last year or so and don’t get me wrong, I’ve observed some winners and some stinkers. Zcode is the first system I’ve seen that now not only gives you the picks, however also tells you WHY it’s giving you these picks the use of straight-up statistics, not “gut feelings”.

Stop gambling: Zcode system scores predictor

The Zcode system is the contrary of luck and chance. This system is a making a bet robot. The system operates by the usage of math, taking in statistics, and analyzing them to identify patterns.
When putting a bet with your gut, your instinct is usually to place a bet the use of the previous ten head-to-head results.
Using your instinct to wager you just, hope, pray and enjoy the tension. However, this system modifications all of this as it is fully based on the analysis. Because it takes in all of the overall performance history of the teams or components playing. With that, it develops a data-based report that shows a pattern, its repetitions, and the effects based on that analysis.

ZCode System Reddit - Who should use the Zcode system?

In a nutshell, if you are addicted to the thrill and exhilaration of betting, this may not be for you. Now, for these of us who like to bet to make money, regardless of the excitement, this system comes to maximize profit.
So, if you do no longer care much for sports however are a fan of money, look no further than this system. I mean, I don’t desire to discourage those who love the thrill of betting, but this can absolutely reduce that a lot. You do not have to watch heaps of hours of sports or even a single hour to make a winning bet.
Why need to you use the system?
The Zcode system analyzes and summarizes thousands of games.
The product takes into account greater than 80 parameters. This ensures that everything in a single recreation is deeply analyzed.
The team, the game’s location, and even the player are all part of the statistics. All of these years of gathering games’ facts have lead to the discovery of patterns of outcomes. The off-day might come, where a specific team manages to turn its success around, but that rarely happens.
The device helps you make money not via merely giving the losing or triumphing side, but they also will assist you with scores. This is a method that rarely fails, as my cash can attest. The system also gives a rating of one to five stars making it simpler to determine which bet to place.
In this system, income are guaranteed.
>>>Get The Free Picks From Zcode<<<
Even when a team unexpectedly pulls out a surprise, it will now not matter at the end of the month. Since this device was launched, it has not recorded a loss in any of the months it has been active. Your financial institution account is guaranteed to be doubled each single month.
When you come to be a member, the pieces will start to fall in region and it will keep happening and happening. A fats bank account is a possibility for you. The machine does not rely on human emotion, and that is what makes it that tons useful. The system relies on heaps of algorithms and formulas that will give you the end result with ease.
The Zcode system is a perfect world of good judgment where every wager is chosen for a reason.

ZCode System Trial

https://preview.redd.it/7v82l7uk5jp51.png?width=660&format=png&auto=webp&s=369d2f18d65579e947d9cc94674c6d720009d331
Before you purchase anything, the most obvious element is to take it for a test drive. This product offers you a sneak peek of the VIP membership the place you get to optimize your rewards.
This is it!
There is no risk involved on the grounds that your money is refunded if you fail to make any profit.
You risk nothing through testing this product. Maybe it is the key to that dream vacation you have usually wanted or the gateway to a new comfortable life. With no threat of losing anything, it would be wise to take the provide on the table. It is always best to have firsthand trip before buying any product. People say its certainly working for them.
There is no risk involved considering your money is refunded if you fail to make any profit.
What sports activities are included?
This product offers tips on the most famous sports since they have the easiest values. Sports fans like to bet on their favored sports, and now you can bet and watch comfortably.
Sports covered consist of the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL and there is also soccer. The coolest thing is that you do now not have to like any of the sports at all. You do not even want to know how the game is played.
This is like buying and selling but in sports, a replica of the inventory market but with more assurance.
Start your trial here

ZCode System Review: what are the Benefits

Say goodbye to guessing video games for the remainder of your time together. ZCode is completely laid out for you and holds your hand so to speak. Copy preceding trends and follow predicted ones to make that next successful bet! It’s so simple, ANYONE can actually use it.
Countless satisfied consumers have additionally ranked ZCode System as the number 1 betting software to use and have made millions of dollars in bets.
Research and records is presented and worked out thru decades of previous patterns, having a bet histories, and sports events.
ZCode is constantly up to date on a regular basis to grant cutting edge, front line sports activities news and guarantee that you make the most secure bet with the odds tilted hugely in your favor.
If some thing doesn’t seem to be working, rest certain that an update will fix that proper away. From dumping unproductive strategies, to implementing fresh, new implementation, ZCode is the sports statistics superhighway.
Not just content with being continuously updated, the support staff are there at all times to help you through the process. If there are any issues or something has gone incorrect (other than you losing of course) then you can contact their friendly and handy team members to type it out.
It will be fixed in a speedy trend too! You can also check out the member boards and find a wealth of information, advice, and people round the world just like you ready to make some cash gambling.
ZCode SystemDrawbacks
There can be such a thing as TOO much information. If you are beginning out using this program, you may experience overwhelmed at certain times however the more you read about a positive subject then the more you will learn.
It has pretty a steep cost per month to subscribe and use the program itself. Some human beings may not be capable to afford it, but at the identical time the programmers do need to get paid. As I said earlier, the success charge is unbelievably high so you can make that amount again in no time. It’s all up to you!

My Zcode System Reddit Review verdict

If you haven’t already figured it out, I am a major supporter of the ZCode System so this ZCode System Review is very favorable, and why wouldn’t it be? I can honestly say in the strongest opinion that ZCode is THE exceptional system available out there these days (believe me I tried A LOT of them).
I never experienced any system faults or too many losses to make me begin questioning its worth and when it comes down to it, I’ve made a ton of money and had fun having a bit of a gamble, but with ZCode System it doesn’t sense like gambling.
Visit ZCode System website
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I Can Make You Hot!: The Supermodel Diet (by Kelly Killoren Bensimon) -- Part Two

I hope you all have taken full advantage of the past 48 hours or so to regain some sense of normalcy after our adventures through Part 1 of Kelly Killoren Bensimon's I Can Make You Hot! Without further ado, Part Two:
I resume my journey through the truly incomprehensible mind of Kelly Bensimon with a chapter entitled, "Thursday: Tricks of My Trade." Now that we've learned about the basic building blocks of hotness, Kelly promises to share even more hard-earned advice to help us really kick things up a notch. And, as she reassures us:
I'm actually glad for the mistakes I've made because anyone who doesn't make mistakes doesn't learn, and if you don't learn, you're boring!
And if you're boring, you're not HOT! I think I'm starting to get the hang of this!
One of Kelly's most important life lessons came at her first horse show, when she made an unbelievably devastating misstep: "I decided to have an egg on a bagel from the food-service van." What kind of unimaginable ripple effects did this poor decision set off? I continue on to learn that Kelly "did all right in the competition." And…that's literally the whole story. Kelly legitimately refers to this as "one of my biggest lessons," as it taught her "to never eat more than I normally would." If life-changing breakthroughs were this easily sparked in my own life, I can't even begin to imagine how self-actualized I would be at this point.
At this point in my reading, I have reached the book's first insert, which contains about a dozen glossy color photos from various phases of Kelly's life. Unfortunately, I am far too preoccupied by this picture, in which a carefree, wind-swept Kelly clenches her infant daughter under one arm with all the grace of an NFL wide receiver, to pay the rest of the spread much mind.
We continue on as Kelly introduces new dimensions to the basic tips she's previously introduced. For example, you may have had some vague idea that water was important, but Kelly -- always there to help us learn and improve -- digs into the specifics to make sure we're up to date on the HOTtest tricks of the trade:
Staying hydrated is important no matter what you're doing, so I always try to drink eight glasses or about a liter of water a day. Soda isn't water. Coffee isn't water. Water is water. Drink throughout the day; don't try to get it all down at once. You wouldn't drown an orchid, so don't drown yourself.
I am putting in my formal request for a Public Service Announcement in this format, but using the last line of that passage. Also, Kelly clearly does not know how poorly I tend to my houseplants.
The next page informs us that, "hot isn't just caliente; it's also spicy and sultry." Kelly promptly launches into yet another list of miscellaneous grocery items, this time focused specifically on "red-hot foods." Except it includes entries like "popcorn with sugar and cinnamon," and "Mike and Ike candy," so I'm not convinced Kelly didn't just lose track of the thread entirely by the time we got a few items in. However, this does seem like an appropriate time to introduce this picture, from the book's second photo insert, which clearly depicts the sleep paralysis demon that has haunted my dreams for the past several nights. We're also treated to this chapter's first "hot button issue" panel, in which Kelly pulls back the curtain on the shadowy, pro-salt cabal trying to control us all with their anti-sodium legislative agenda:
We keep reading about how bad sodium is for our health, but if you eat fresh foods that you prepare yourself, you can determine and control the amount of salt you want to use. I, Kelly Killoren Bensimon, am perfectly capable of deciding how much salt I want to put on my food. I don't need anyone else to salt my food for me. I know that the amount of salt I choose to sprinkle on my food is not going to hurt me.
I read on to find a two-page spread in which Kelly expounds, in rhapsodic praise to rival that of Song of Solomon, upon her ardor for her beloved dehydrator -- "I though I was in love with coffee, but now I think my dehydrator is my truest love." Most of the passage is taken up by an unstructured list of the various things Kelly has attempted to dehydrate ("cucumber," "mangoes," "avocado") but she does manage to squeeze in a few infomercial-ready lines -- "Really, you should buy one; I promise you won't be sorry."
Since repetition is the key to reinforcing new concepts, I appreciate that Kelly's next list (of "a few more lean tricks I've learned along the way") repeats a note she originally relayed to us just a few pages ago:
Drink water throughout the day (not all at one sitting).
She's also been thoughtful enough to provide a list of resources for us to use as we soldier on along the perilous journey to HOT. After all, as Kelly says, "I don’t expect you to carry this book wherever you go -- as much as I would love that." As someone who has never before ventured into the wild world of cyberspace, I really appreciated Kelly introducing me to so many fun, useful websites that I might want to check out! In case you, too, just haven't figured out how to navigate this whole Internet thing, I've included a few examples below:
www.amazon.com
One-stop shopping for just about any book, periodical, or product you might want to read or buy in order to get HOT.

www.espn.com
Everything you need to know to stay up to date on any sport.

www.webmd.com
Useful, up-to-date, trustworthy information on medical and health issues.

www.yummly.com
Claims to have "every recipe in the world"
Can't wait to check these out later! That Amazon one sounds super cool!
I'm reminded quickly just how inelegant the transitions in this book are as we move directly from that list into the following:
I suggest that you take a picture of yourself every day…Some days when you're feeling your fattest, you may be surprised to see that you really look great.
Okay, so fat is NOT HOT. Except being comfortable in your body is HOT. And trying to be skinny is NOT HOT. But being skinny is HOT. Thank goodness I still have a few more chapters to go -- I clearly still have a ways to go before I truly understand the logic of HOTness. As it stands, I must admit that I'm a bit baffled.
Of course, returning to the previous bit of advice, Kelly doesn't actually have to worry about taking her own pictures like us plebeians -- "Having been photographed so often has provided me with a permanent retrospective catalogue of my life." The chapter closes with these words of wisdom:
The best kind of vanity is being vain about what you put in your body.
Friday's chapter promises to introduce us to the world of "Hot Couture," and I am excited to see what tips and tricks Kelly has managed to accrue over her lifetime in the cutthroat world of modeling . But first, we abruptly transition to a story about Kelly meeting Madonna shortly after both women had given birth. Kelly had "gained a healthy fifty pounds," which I am led to believe, from the context of the anecdote, is NOT HOT. Madonna, on the other hand, was "flat-stomached" and therefore "HOT and cool." Of course, Kelly reassures us hurriedly that she lost all the weight within the following six weeks and was "actually thinner than I'd been prepregnancy." I am at an utter loss as to what the point of this story could possibly be, but -- blessedly -- Kelly is gracious enough to explain:
So what's the lesson here? That Madonna had personal trainers and chefs to whip her back into shape, and I didn't -- and still don’t. I shouldn't have been comparing myself to her in the first place. My advice to you is: don’t compare yourself to anyone else, only to your own personal best.
This is a perfect example of something Kelly does throughout this book, which is to present a completely reasonable piece of advice (don’t compare yourself to others), but couched within such a bizarre and logically disorganized narrative that by the time I reach the ultimate moral of the story, my brain feels like it's been run through a series of meat grinders, and I'm reduced to just nodding along in bemused acceptance.
We get a "Kelly's Cardinal Rule" reminding us to "let your body be what your body is and be happy with what you've got." I'm starting to wonder if there is some sort of Dr. Jekyll / Mr. Hyde thing going on behind the scenes here, in which two versions of Kelly are frantically grappling over control of the book's body-positivity dial. I'm literally don't even have to flip the page to see Kelly commiserating with us that "we all have days or occasions when we feel fat" and quipping about her "go-to fat outfit." But also:
Stop praying for what you don't have and be grateful for what you've got.
This amount of cognitive dissonance is truly proof that Kelly contains multitudes. Or has recently acquired some sort of debilitating short-term amnesia. Nevertheless, we continue:
But whatever your shape, show it off. Don’t try to hide it. Hiding is not hot.
Kelly next walks us through figuring out which "season" we are, based on the wisdom extolled in "Color Me Beautiful, the groundbreaking book that was so wildly successful in the early 80s." It's no surprise to me that Kelly, who earlier encouraged us to make our lives easier by using our PDAs, finds this to be an exciting new trend to share. Also, in case you weren't aware, "hair color is also important. You can lighten it or darken it or cover the gray." Lighten it or darken it? The boundaries of my mental universe are truly expanding.
Some more fashion tidbits:
Scarves are hippie chic, cool, and always HOT.

If you're narrow, show off how narrow you are with a monochromatic palette.

Ankles are the new cleavage!
Narrow ankles only, I presume. Kelly's selfless, giving nature is highlighted yet again in the following passage, in which she explains:
All these celebrities have stylists who pull the clothes, accessories, and shoes that make them look the way they do. They charge a lot of money for what they do, so why not get some free advice based on my experience.
And what, pray tell, is this coveted advice that Kelly is so lovingly sharing with her readers, free of charge?
  1. Save sweatpants for the gym.
  2. Save PJs for the bedroom.
  3. Dress as if you were the boss.
  4. Remember what Carrie Bradshaw says: "Nothing is casual anymore, even when it says so on the invitation."
  5. Manolo Blahniks are a girl's best friend.
Okay, so far be it from me to complain about the quality of free advice. But. Out of the five pearls of wisdom that make up the "KKBStyle Rules," two of them are rudimentary instructions to wear somewhat-situationally-appropriate clothing, and the other three are the kind of cute sayings that you would find on a piece of poorly bedazzled wall art in the clearance aisle of your local TJMaxx. I'm not impressed.
Kelly next tells us how important it is to eat well and exercise, even "when you're premenstrual or having your period." That way, as she continues on, "you'll feel better because your endorphins will be flowing while your body is sloughing off unwanted endometrium and mucus." To be fair, Unwanted Endometrium does sound like a sick band name.
Thankfully, the mental image of Kelly's mucus slough is promptly booted from my mind by a careening diatribe about the color red (HOT!):
I even painted my nails red the minute I started writing this book. I wanted to see my short red nails tapping away on my Macbook Pro. Almost every red dress is smokin' HOT, and I've never met a guy who doesn't think a woman in a red dress isn't hot. He's a liar if he denies it.
To repeat, Kelly says she's "never met a guy who doesn’t think a woman in a red dress isn't hot." Poor dear got a bit carried away with her negatives, but I'm sure she'll redeem herself in no time:
When I was sitting in the front row of a Marc Jacobs fashion show a few years ago, I wore a full, red short skirt, a tight red sweater, and red open-toed shoes. One of the editors from The New York Times was sitting across from me, and as we were waiting for the show to begin I kept crossing and recrossing my legs to make him laugh.
Sure, Kelly. To make him laugh. I can only assume she must have written some kind of hilariously clever joke on the gusset of her underwear to have had this editor so tickled pink red.
It was a long wait and after a while some guy I didn't know who was at the other end of the row, leapt towards me and screamed that he was obsessed with my feet. How crazy is it that red open-toed shoes and red toenails could create such a reaction. Red is HOT, even stalker HOT. Yikes!
I'm not clear where "stalker HOT" fits into this whole complex web, but it's reassuring to know that a wise soul like Kelly has such a nuanced appreciation of all of the different ways to be hot. She also gives us some "HOT tips for heating up your image." Like,
Put on a pair of jeans and a white tee shirt.

Put your hair in a ponytail.

Put on a pair of hoop earrings.
And also
Wear your jeans a size smaller instead of a size larger.
For some reason not entirely clear to me at this moment, wearing jeans in your actual size does not seem to be an option.
The chapter continues with a reminder to "remember what's on top of your head!"
There's nothing hotter than a HOT head of hair (unless it's a hunky bald guy).
Kelly follows up by offering a list of what she calls "HOT healthy options." Based on the preceding paragraph, you might assume that these tips would have something to do with haircare and hair styling. However, you would be wrong. Instead, we're instructed to:
Enjoy as much watermelon as you like.

Pack a picnic lunch of dehydrated fruit, chamomile iced tea, and mini pizzas made with corn tortillas, cherry tomatoes, and mozzarella cheese. Eat your picnic in the park.

Come up with something fun you want to try and do it!
Personally, it seems like a bit of a cop-out to make one of the items on your list of fun things to do "make up your own fun thing to do." But who knows? Maybe cop-outs are HOT!
Before my faith in our fearless leader starts to waver, however, I read on through the end of the chapter, and my surety is promptly restored:
Besides my hair and my legs, the one thing people always ask me about the way I look is how I keep my teeth so white. And yes, that's also a matter of genetics. I'm blessed with the whitest teeth on the planet, and, no, I've never had them professionally bleached.
The weekend begins as I turn the page to the penultimate chapter -- "Saturday: Heat Up Your HOT Image with Healthy Options Today." Saturdays, as Kelly tells us, are for fun activities. For example:
If you're in the mall, go to different stores and figure out which looks will make you HOT. Ask other shoppers for advice.
Also:
Parks are great for people-watching. Who looks fit and healthy?
I sincerely hope that any and all of my friends would give me a stern talking-to if I informed them that my weekend plans consisted of going to a park and…pointing out people I think aren't healthy enough?
Kelly then warns us against overindulging on late-night snacks or alcoholic beverages, lest we wake up Sunday feeling "bloating, sluggish, and with deep regrets." Presumably, Kelly then proceeded to rail a massive line of cocaine and hammer out the following frenetic spiel:
You're not going to get fat from having a few drinks a week. You will get fat if your routine is to drink, eat late, and then lie around watching television the next day, eating and making bad food choices. Going out is fun, but when you sacrifice the next day, it's never fun enough. Don't have regrets; enjoy every day. This is a life plan, and yesterday isn't coming back ever again.
The chapter comes to a close with a reminder to "wrap up every day with a great big bow and be ready for your next adventure. But before we close out our week of HOT, we're provided with what I anticipate will be an incredibly useful reference material for us all, the "KKBfit HOT Quiz." If you'd like to take the quiz yourself, you can find it here. However, I'm not entirely sure I would classify it as a "quiz," since it seems to be mostly a set of questions followed by Kelly's feedback on various possible responses. For example:
  1. How Kelly Green are you?
I had a Kelly Green Juice -- Wasn't it yummy?
I had a smoothie from the health food store with a splash of spinach -- Great choice!
I had kale chips, spinach, and quinoa for dinner last night -- I bet you woke up feeling great this morning!
Other?
I presume that the lack of response after the "Other?" choice is supposed to represent Kelly staring at me in deranged disappointment for a few painfully protracted seconds. Some questions, like the one above, don't seem to have any wrong answers at all. In contrast, other questions have clear wrong answers, which Kelly wastes no time in making apparent:
  1. Are you getting enough protein? How many days did you eat chicken, fish, or meat for at least one meal?
I had a grilled chicken salad for dinner on three different days -- That's good, but I wish you'd get a little more adventurous in your choices.

  1. How KKBfit are you?
Haven't had a meal since last night, but I'm going to skip breakfast and go on a run. I won't eat anything until lunch. -- Sorry, but starving your body is not KKBfit.

  1. Are you drinking enough?
I drink when I'm exercising but that's about it -- Not good enough! Try harder next week.
The quiz ends, leaving me entirely unsure of whether or not I've actually made any forward progress towards my HOTness goals, but the next page does promise help for those who "still need more inspiration." Here, it seems that Kelly has compiled a loose assortment of quotes, most of which (I have a sneaking suspicion) were found by searching the keyword "hot" on BrainyQuote.com. Also, this masterpiece from Kelly's ex-husband, noted fashion photographer Gilles Bensimon:
HOT--
It is not about the look,
It is not only about the charm,
It is the perfect combination:
Sweet and tough,
Sexy and reserved,
Fragile and powerful,
And definitely smart.
-- Gilles Bensimon
Move over, Rupi Kaur! I hope with every fiber of my being that Gilles Bensimon has published his collected poetry in some kind of volume that I could purchase, read, and have, I'm sure, nothing but positive things to say about. After about a dozen similar quotations, Kelly continues:
Now, as you get ready for Sunday Funday, take a few minutes to think about how you define HOT. Has your definition changed or evolved since you started reading this book? If so, I'm doing my job.
In all honesty, my definition of HOT has definitely been…affected by this experience. So we'll call that a win! Kelly tells us a few stories about times when her friends and family members have come to her for guidance on how to be hot. She explains:
I'm not the food police, but I've made myself the Sven-arbiter (as opposed to Svengali) of what's HOT and what's not.
Case in point:
It's just not hot to belong to the clean plate club.
The chapter closes with a list titled "Why Don't You," which I believe is supposed to be a list of fun activities we can try during a Sunday Funday. Or possibly a list of terrible life hacks for stoned college freshmen:
Use an electric teapot as a clothing steamer.

Make grilled cheese sandwiches or press wraps using a hot clothes iron.
There are very few things sadder to me that imagining someone taking Kelly up on this last bit of advice as a fun way to liven up what must be the most preternaturally boring existence possible. If your idea of fun is white bread and Kraft Singles getting slowly warmed over on your clothing iron, I can only imagine the fit of hysterics that you'd be thrown into by a passable Minions meme.
And that brings us to the end of the week. But not -- lucky you! -- to the end of this book. Au contraire -- the remaining 100 pages or so of I Can Make You Hot! feature dozens of unique recipes from the culinary mind of none other than the indomitable Kelly Bensimon herself. In her intro, however, she makes it clear that
No one on earth would ever call me a chef.
Of course not, Kelly -- they'd call you a cook. Otherwise, it's creepy.
This portion of the book begins, reasonably enough, with Breakfasts. These include such thoughtfully named delicacies as "My Favorite Cereal" and "My Favorite Pancakes." The recipe for the latter begins with the following introduction:
I'm not the greatest pancake maker, and I probably never will be. But what I am very good at is thinking of unusual things and doing them.
Frankly, I can't argue with that. As she continues:
When in pancake doubt, have fun, add fruit, and see if pancakes can be a vehicle for creating great memories for your family.
Next time I'm in pancake doubt, I'll know just what to do! We move right along into the Soups and Salads section, and are promptly introduced to Kelly's "Jimmy Achoo's Chicken Soup." Which is apparently a play on Jimmy Choo and also described by Kelly as "filled with veggie exploitation," which sounds terrifying. Of the next recipe, "Rich and Skinny Cauliflower Soup with Kale Chips," Kelly reflects:
I adapted this recipe from one I found on the Internet. I wish I could tell you exactly where, but I can't.
The recipe calls for kale chips, which Kelly goes out of her way to inform us can be purchased "at health food stores and many well-stocked supermarkets." We also get a few general "HOT salad tips" that can be applied to many of the recipes throughout this book, such as
There are so many different types of lettuces available today! Try different ones to see which you like best
and
When you order a salad in a restaurant, ask for the dressing on the side. You're a grown-up and you should get to decide how much you want to use.
With that under our belts, the grown-ups among us move on to "Meat, Chicken, and Fish." In her recipe for "Grilled Rib Eye with Herbes de Provence", Kelly tells us about meeting the famous chef who inspired this dish:
When I met Eric, who was still in his thirties at the time, he still had dark hair. I was caught off guard because I thought all chefs were older, had gray hair, and smelled like garlic.
So perhaps Bethenny should have taken it as a compliment? Kelly continues,
He's since invited me many times to go into his kitchen and cook with him, but my fear of losing a finger by being overzealous has prohibited me from accepting.
It's unclear to me exactly what this means or why Kelly would even be particularly worried about this possibility. Does she have habit of excitedly snatching vegetables out from other people's knives? Does Eric have a reputation for slicing anyone who dares to get in his way? Before I make any headway with this particular mystery, we're introduced to the next recipe, the "Pencil-Thin Skirt Steak." As we learn, "Everyone looks slim in a pencil skirt, so it's only fitting that skirt steak is one of the leanest cuts of beef you can buy." We get a recipe for "Sultry Roast Chicken" in which Kelly shares with us that "in fact, chicken without ginger doesn't taste like chicken to me anymore." This would be more believable if we weren't, a mere two pages later, introduced to a notably ginger-free recipe for "Second-Chance Chicken." As Kelly explains,
I hate the idea of leftovers. To me, eating leftovers means you're too lazy to start over, and I've never wanted my girls to think that we weren't starting fresh.
In the introduction to the recipe for "Bad Girl Wings," Kelly gives us yet another poignant insight into her life as a mother:
These chicken wings are Sea's favorite. I'm sure she loves them because she knows I love wings (she's a cutie like that).
It would obviously be ludicrous to assume that Sea actually enjoys chicken wings authentically. Much more likely that she just loves them because Kelly does. HOT! In a segment labeled "hasta la vista taco bell," Kelly recounts a traumatic experience in which she "discovered that my favorite food choices [at Taco Bell] added up to 580 calories." To me, this seems like a perfectly reasonable amount of calories for one daily meal out of three, but according to Kelly, I am embarrassingly off the mark. Rather, she sighs, "I guess that means my Taco Bell days are over -- unless I decide to chance [sic] Sunday Funday into Fatso Food Day." Not HOT.
Kelly tells us about the creative process behind the development of the next recipe, "Spicy Sultry Shrimp and Mango Stir-Fry" (which, for the record, is the second recipe to have the word "sultry" in its title).
This was one of the first dishes I made when I started to cook -- as a science experiment. My "method" was to think of foods I loved and which ones I thought would go well together.
Fascinating! Think of ingredients you like and combine them into a dish that you will then likely also like! The next recipe, for "Kelly's Kalamari," features the following introduction:
I still love fried calamari, but it doesn't love me. Whenever I eat it, it goes right to my stomach and makes a little pooch -- eww!
As a reminder, this is the same Kelly Bensimon who told us that loving our bodies is HOT and dieting is die + t. But also, eww!
We trek along into the next portion of the recipe book, succinctly titled "Pizza, Pasta, Potatoes, Grains, Vegetables, and Sides." We get a recipe for "Pizzzzzzzza!," which instructs the reader to obtain pizza dough, pizza sauce, mozzerella cheese, salt and pepper. Spread out the dough, add sauce and cheese, and cook! This is yet another time I'm glad Kelly told us early on in this book to take detailed notes -- these kinds of nuanced culinary creations can only come from the mind of a true master.
The same kind of true master who would, as we soon learn, conceive of this particular travesty -- "Pink Pizza." Imagine with me, for a moment, that a dear friend invites you over to their house for dinner. I'm making pizza! they implore you. Come over -- we'll hang out, have a couple beers, catch up on old times! Excited for a chance to relive the glory days, you eagerly accept, only to be met -- upon your arrival -- with this abomination. I thought you said we were having pizza? you sputter nervously. This is pizza, your friend intones, as their eyes slowly fade to black and their hands reach out to wrap themselves around your throat.
Kelly goes on to share a recipe for an "Asian-flavored noodle dish" that she has christened (and it truly pains me to type this), "Me Love You Springtime Noodles." Somewhere, the last ember of hope for humanity quietly fizzles out.
The following recipe, for "Pasta with Oddkavodka Sauce" begins with a warning:
When you make this (especially for children) just be sure you cook off the alcohol so that you aren't serving vodka to minors or have to assign a designated driver for your guests.
This seems like reasonable and conscientious advice. Until I read on and learn that the recipe calls for 1/8 cup vodka, and makes four servings. If your guests need a designated driver after consuming a half-tablespoon of vodka each, I would strongly encourage them to seek medical advice forthwith.
I am reminded once again how different Kelly's and my worlds are with the following exclamation:
Try using quinoa in this recipe instead of the rice -- I call that having your cake and eating it too!
Oh, to live a life in which your most selfish indulgence was quinoa. I suppose this should have prepared me for a few pages later, when Kelly remarks:
Both hummus and guacamole make great toppings for steak or fish. They're my version of béarnaise sauce.
I love hummus. Hummus is great. But there is no possible existing parallel universe in which hummus and béarnaise sauce are interchangeable. One of the final recipes in this section is cryptically titled "Have an Impromptu Pepper Party" and instructs the reader to scoop out the insides of a bell pepper and stuff it with "whatever ingredients suit your fancy." Again, I feel like this fails to meet the definition of an actual recipe, per se, but it is supposedly "quick, fun, and satisfying."
We're nearing the book's end (for real this time) with a section on "Breads and Desserts." This includes an inspirational passage in which Kelly shares a personal anecdote:
On Season 4 of the Real Housewives of New York City, I made a mixed fruit pie for my kids with what was left over in the fruit bowl…Don't be afraid to try new things, make mistakes, and have fun doing it.
I can only hope to someday be brave enough and fearless enough to make a mixed fruit pie.
Blessedly, the final section , titled "Beverages", looks like it might have exactly what I need in the aftermath of finishing this book. The "GIN-Ginger Beertail," for example, which "was originally made with gin, but I don't like serving gin drinks because I think it makes people mean." We also get a recipe for something called "Babylove," which (thankfully) seems unrelated to another of my favorite reality TV cesspools.
It only seems appropriate to share the final recipe of I Can Make You Hot! with all of you. I will definitely be downing approximately seven of these tonight, and I hope some of you will be joining me in spirit. Cheers:
Gummi Bear Martini
If you don't have a paper umbrella handy, Gummi Bears are a great way to put more fun in your drink.
Makes 1 Drink
2 parts orange, grape, or other-flavored vodka
1 part Triple Sec
1 part white grape juice
Splash of cranberry juice
Gummi Bears, as many as you like
Combine the vodka, Triple Sec, grape juice, and cranberry juice in a tall glass. Add ice and fill the glass with Gummi Bears.
ETA: I am so disappointed in myself for forgetting to include that Kelly has a ceviche recipe that instructs you to marinate raw fish in lemon juice for exactly two minutes before serving. In the interest of food safety, perhaps it was for the best that this nugget momentarily slipped my mind, but sharing this information with you all is the burden I have been cursed to bear. 🙏🏼
submitted by efa___ to BravoRealHousewives [link] [comments]

Maximizing Pointsbet New Sign-Up Offer

Just signed up for Pointsbet. Took the offer of 1 $500 risk free fixed odds bet and 1 $500 risk free Pointbetting bet. Looking to maximize this offer during the NFL tomorrow and need advice. Especially around the Pointsbetting offer as I've never done one of those.
Thoughts?
submitted by CountMeOutOfMoney to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

Bowl Season Thread Schedule!

BOWL SEASON IS HERE!

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Post Season Week 4: 1/5 - 1/11

Thread Date THREAD Time Other
2019 /CFB Bowl Pick 'Em Winners 1/7 11:00 am Thread
Coaching Carousel: The NFL Strikes Back 1/7 11:30 am Thread
National Championships Games Prediction Thread 1/8 11:00 am Thread
Dear CFB: Last Minute Going to and Watching a National Championship Game Advice Thread 1/8 2:00 pm Thread
Complain About the National Championship Game Scheduling Thread 1/8 3:00 pm Thread
National Championship Game User Friendly Bet Thread 1/9 10:55 am Thread
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Free Talk Friday, 1/10 1/10 11:00 am Thread
Coaching Carousel Thread: Our Winter of Discontent 1/10 11:30 am Thread
FCS Championship & Pre-NCG General Discussion 1/11 8:00 am Thread
FCS Championship & Pre-NCG Picture/Video/GIF Thread 1/11 9:00 am Thread
[Game Thread] FCS Championship: NDSU vs James Madison 1/11 11:00 am Thread, PGT
NDSU ARE THE 2019 FCS CHAMPIONS CELEBRATION THREAD 1/11 3:15 pm Thread
NDSU ARE THE 2019 FCS CHAMPIONS COMPLAINTS THREAD 1/11 3:15 pm Thread

Post Season Week 5: 1/12 - 1/18

Thread Date THREAD Time Other
FCS Championship Serious Postgame Discussion Thread 1/12 8:00 am
National Championship Game Early Talk 1/12 9:00 am
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NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME TRASH TALK: WHY IS THIS GAME ON A MONDAY NIGHT? 1/13 11:00 am
The Monday Morning Playoff Committee 1/13 Noon
National ChampionshipsGame Betting Discussion Thread 1/13 1:00 pm
National Championship Last Minute Predictions 1/13 3:00 pm
[Game Thread] College Football Playoff College Football Playoff National Championship Game LSU v Clemson: First Quarter 1/13 7:00 pm
[Game Thread] College Football Playoff College Football Playoff National Championship Game LSU v Clemson: Coaches Film Room 1/13 7:30 pm
LSU/CLEMSON TIGERS ARE THE 2019 NATIONAL CHAMPIONS CELEBRATION THREAD 1/13 TBD
LSU/CLEMSON TIGERS ARE THE 2019 NATIONAL CHAMPIONS COMPLAINTS THREAD 1/13 TBD
Post-Game Rehash 1/14 9:00 am
National Championship Week Best of /CFB Thread 1/14 10:55 am
Post Season Serious Postgame Discussion Thread 1/14 10:55 am
Post Season Week 4 Complain About Your Team Thread 1/14 11:00 am
2019 Season Complain About the Refs Thread 1/14 1:00 pm
Still Talking About the NCG Discussion Thread 1/14 3:00 pm
Way Too Early 2020 Prediction Thread 1/15 11:00 am
Dear CFB: Best Game Experiences of 2019 1/15 2:00 pm
Wrapping Up 2019 User Friendly Bet Thread 1/16 10:55 am
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Free Talk Friday, 1/17 1/17 11:00 am

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[Game Thread] Camping World Bowl Camping World Bowl: Notre Dame v Iowa State 1, 2, PGT
[Game Thread] Cotton Bowl Cotton Bowl Classic: Penn State v Memphis 1, 2, 3, 4, PGT
[Game Thread] Peach Bowl Peach Bow: LSU v Oklahoma 1, 2, 3, 4, PGT
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[Game Thread] Redbox Bowl Redbox Bowl: California v Illinois Thread, PGT
[Game Thread] Orange Bowl Orange Bowl: Florida v Virginia 1, 2, 3, 4, PGT
[Game Thread] Belk Bowl Belk Bowl: Virginia Tech v Kentucky Thread, PGT
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[Game Thread] Liberty Bowl Liberty Bowl: Navy v Kansas State Thread, PGT
[Game Thread] Arizona Bowl Arizona Bowl: Wyoming v Georgia State Thread, PGT
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[Game Thread] Outback Bowl Outback Bowl: Minnesota v Auburn 1, 2, PGT
[Game Thread] Rose Bowl Rose Bowl: Oregon v Wisconsin: First Quarter 1, 2, 3, 4, PGT
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[Game Thread] Birmingham Bowl Birmingham Bowl: Boston College v Cincinnati Thread, PGT
[Game Thread] Gator Bowl Gator Bowl: Tennessee v Indiana 1, 2, PGT
[Game Thread] UA All American Game Thread
[Game Thread] Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Nevada v Ohio Thread, PGT
[Game Thread] Armed Forces Bowl Armed Forces Bowl: Tulane v Southern Miss Thread, PGT
[Game Thread] The 2020 U.S. Army All-American Bowl Thread
[Game Thread] LendingTree Bowl LendingTree Bowl: Louisiana v Miami (OH) Thread, PGT

Q&A

Why does CFB_Referee get all the bowl game threads?
Because this season we have had some problems with people deleting threads and because of the size of our sub and threads we need more split game threads.
What are these threads?
The threads listed here are ones posted by CFB_Referee or the mod team. You'll notice not all of the FCS playoff games are here - those threads are still available to grab as normal in the game thread generator.
What time zone are we in?
Eastern. At least CFB_Referee is. So that's the time zone for the threads.
BUT WHY DO WE NEED HALVES IN THREADS?
Simply put, the mod team and many users start to have problems with threads lagging or not working at all once we get past 10,000 comments. It isn't that Reddit shuts down the thread at that point, just that the threads become much harder to use at the rapid pace of a game thread. Yes, your system may be able to handle it, but a lot of people's cannot.
The dark times of the offseason begin.
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Is Uber diversifying its tendie stream? Or, is Lyft smart to stick with one, consistent stream? both bigly bad this week

To the mods: I had to repost again bc when editing I lost most of the post.
tl:dr: UBER and LYFT are fucked this week. Market will definitely crash again. I think UBER is shitter than LYFT because UBER increases how much it loses with EATS as it gains more users. Lyft at least has been losing less over the past few quarters. I'm short UBER and may also buy Lyft puts. If Lyft becomes cheap, like ~$5B market cap, I'll probably go long and hard.
Disclaimer: This isn't invesment advice and always do your own DD and come to your own conclusions. Don't just trust a Brando drinking retard sitting and typing bigly words on a sweet, sweet lit-up keyboard that was clearly ingrained in him the difference versus a need and a want.
Some folks may be interested and already looking at the two major ridesharing companies: UBER & LYFT. I've generally favored LYFT over UBER because it isn't trying to do (and fail) at more than rideshare (the primary biz function); yes, both lose money and are in hyper-growth mode but being better at losing money in more ways doesn't bode well, especially when it detracts from the aforementioned core biz. UBER is definitely succeeding in losing money in ever more (not so) creative ways.
As earnings approach for these rideshare innovators, below is some info for readers to peruse as their crayon-eating time frees up. As always, do your DD and make us proud. Else, you're relegated to drinking piss in your mom's basement. I get that might be appealing to some, but whatever, some of you get it.
Looking at 2018 to 2019 figures.
LYFT | Insider Trades | Latest 10K
  1. Net Loss increased from -42.3 to -72%. For 2019, 174.7% of their revenue is Total Costs and Expenses. Lyft only does rideshare and their R&D increase a bit closer to 3x versus Uber's ~2.5x. Notably, Sales and Marketing went down (37.3 to 22.5%). (pg. 64)
  2. Cost of Revenue - 75% increase to $7.2B (51% of revenue). (pg. 65)
  3. Operations and Support - 88% increase to $646M (17.6% of revenue). (pg. 66)
  4. Sales and Marketing - 1% increase to $814M (22.5% of revenue).
  5. R&D - 400% increase to $1.5B (41.6% of revenue).
  6. Revenue in crease of ~68%. (pg. 65)
Lyft had a huge loss of $48.53/share for quarter end in March 2019; though EPS has seems to have stabilized and loss/share decreasing each quarter with Dec 2019 having a -$1.19 EPS. It appears that this was mostly due to R&D increasing 6x and G&A ~3x from prior quarter (pgs. 70-71). The percentage breakdown is more clear on pg. 70, as aside from R&D and G&A in March 2019, the Net Loss seems to be going in the right direction.
The Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows seems to show that Lyft is burning through less cash each year, as reported on the Net cash used in operating activities line item. (pg. 82)
UBER | Insider Trades | Latest 10K
4/24 Head CTO left after 7 years. Senior execs leaving is generally bad.
  1. Net Income of 9% and Loss of 60% for 2018 to 2019. For 2019, 161% of their revenue is Total Costs and Expenses. Even though their top lines are increasing for rideshare or Eats, 14 and 72%, respectively, for 2018 to 2019, their Loss from operations more than doubled from -27% to -61%. This led to a . (pg. 56)
  2. Cost of Revenue - 28% increase to $2.18B (60.2% of revenue). (pg. 57)
  3. Operations and Support - 52% increase to $2.3B (16% of revenue).
  4. Sales and Marketing - 47% increase to $4.6B (33% of revenue).
  5. R&D - whopping 221% increase to $4.8B (34% of revenue). (pg. 58)
  6. Revenue in crease of ~25.5%. (calculated from pg. 55)
  7. Cash and Cash Equivalents - $10.9B as of year end 2019. (pg 78)
  8. Long-term Debt - $5.7B for year end 2019 (down from $6.9B in 2018). Next two are Convertible Notes maturing in 2021 and 2022; next 3 are Senior Notes for years '23, '26 & '27. (pg. 112)
Eats and Freight are growing revenue far more than rideshare with 82 and 105%, respectively (pg. 61). Then looking at the next page, it shows segment adjusted EBITDA. It seems rideshare is doing OK, generating an adjusted profit which increased 34% from 2018. However, Eats was a loss and for year ends 2018 and 2019 losses increase 69 and 128%, respectively. This is what I've been worried about with Uber; this diversified segment is more of a hindrance than an advantage over Lyft. This is even thought the gross bookings are seeing 164 and 83% increases for year ends 2018 and 2019, respectively. They're losing more money as they gain more market share in each of these non-rideshare segments.
The Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows seems to show that Uber is burning through more cash each year, as reported on the Net cash used in operating activities line item. (pg. 84)
It'll be interesting to see what quarter-end March '20 will look like when they report. For same Q ends in 2018 and 2019 we had a $2.00 and -$2.23 basic EPS, respectively. (pg. 87)
Conclusion
This is just the start of some more DD that I'll cap off tomorrow. However, I'm sticking with the thesis that Uber is still struggling with Eats (and its other bets) for the foreseeable future. In my mind, this is a hugh negative. If I wanted to invest in ridesharing, I'd be long Lyft and short Uber.
Positions - UBER $28P May 8
5/7 Update: GRUB’s ER on Wednesday wasn’t good, as expected. I’m a little torn; I expect Uber bulls to pull magical green Eats-branded dildos out of their asses en masse even though the numbers will be total shit (surprise?). I’m closing my put position bc I have 🧻 👐 and need to wipe my butt; waiting to re-enter when they get pumped. FYI, UBER & LYFT are just trying to touch the peak from last week, LOL.
submitted by fallweathercamping to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

I recently got NFL Pass and started watching. I have a few questions and a few thoughts

NFL pass was made free for a year in the UK (and around the world, by the looks of it) recently, so I got it and started trying to learn more about American football. My normal sporting jam is association football (or soccer) and rugby union, although I know my way around rugby league.
I've so far watched the first two weeks of post-season, with about 50/50 split of watching the full replay, and the "game in 40'" replays. In trying to properly get in the mood, I've often had a drink or two while watching. Normally beer (as is proper) although by "beer" that's usually an English ruby ale, rather than an American beer. (The only American beer I can easily get hold of is Budweiser. I know you have many excellent beers in the USA, but that isn't one of them.) Occasionally it's a gin & tonic with raspberries in. I hope that doesn't ruin the football experience.
INITIAL THOUGHTS
Hits don't seem, for the most part, to be particularly worse than rugby on running plays. Given football's reputation in the UK, most tacklers seem happy to do enough to end the play and that's it. (This is probably down to most pop-culture coverage in the UK being "biggest hits" highlight reels and films like this, in fairness.) Having said that, once it does get rough football does seem to be far less restrictive on certain things as well. Football seems quite happy with no-arm tackles, dump-tackles, and I'm sure I saw a neck-roll at one point. All go without much to say.
Even on passing plays, where the quarterback gets sacked, you might expect a bigger hit against the relatively stationary target from a run-up, but while they look painful they generally don't look so bad.
The cadence of the football v rugby is really different, and this is probably what the biggest bit of getting used to. Rugby would only ever have 25+ seconds of downtime for a set piece. It gives football an explosiveness which rugby only rarely matches but with a trade-off: I find it doesn't get the intensity of watching a rugby team hammer at the defensive try line, phase after phase after phase looking for an opening, while the defence desperately makes tackle after tackle with no idea how long it will be until they get the ball back. (Rugby union only; in rugby league they know it's only six phases.)
In comparison, there's quite a different physical test. Rugby doesn't require the same explosive athleticism that football does, but is a much bigger test of cardio fitness. I don't know how far a football player runs during a match, but I'm willing to bet it doesn't come close to how far a rugby player runs, although it will generally be at higher intensity. (My reasoning being: it can't come close, can it? The ball is apparently live on average 11 minutes in football (surely more? That number is quite old) and there are 53 players sharing the load; in rugby its live for 60 minutes or so, and there are 23 players to share the load.)
The off-the-ball blocking and stuff is clearly so important, but it's hard to keep track off without seeing what happened on a replay. Particularly since the side-on camera angle makes it tough to see what's happening on the line of scrimmage. (And also means I often can't see runners who've gone long.)
The 2 point attack is a great piece of game design. If I could import one thing from football to rugby, I think this would be it.
NFL referees seem to follow the letter of the law far more closely than rugby referees. In rugby if there's no advantage to be gained or both teams are doing something about equally as wrong, and it's not dangerous the referee will basically just ignore it. In football referees seem to call infringements that don't, so far as I can see, gain any advantage a lot more.
Some roughly equivalent positions I've figured out: quarterback & fly-half; centre & scrum-half; safeties & fullbacks (on defence); running backs & fullbacks (in possession); linemen & forwards; receivers & wingers. With no rucking, mauling, or scrummaging the second row of forwards doesn't really have a football equivalent.
Dropped catches are way more common in NFL compared to rugby. Obviously the ball is coming faster, smaller, and from harder angles, and the downside to a dropped catch is less (no loss of yardage, compared to losing the ball entirely). While the difference isn't surprising, I was expecting to see the ball more consistently caught if the catcher got hands to it.
While I was expecting to have to get to grips with a lot of new language, I almost choked on my drink when the commentator referred to a muff. That is not a word to use in polite conversation over here.
QUESTIONS
What's up with the AFC and NFC split? The geographical splits make sense in a country the size of the USA, but this one doesn't.
How much leeway to teams get to improvise on the fly? For example, if I'm told to go for a streak route, and realise I'm being covered by someone faster than me, could I improvise and hook back to find space without getting a bollocking from the offensive coach/quarterback?
I saw a foul called for an ineligible receiver. How can I tell who is an eligible receiver and who isn't, and why are some receivers eligible and some not (i.e. why does that rule exist - is there some strategy it's meant to stop)?
Quarterbacks seem to get away with throwing away the ball quite a lot. Is that just how it is, or are the rulesmakers probably going to alter that somehow? It feels cheap to avoid losing yards to the sack by just throwing a super speculative pass in the vague direction of a receiver.
And the big one: any advice on how to read a defence, or learn the language of it? I kind of get the basics: I know "4-4", for example, means four on the line scrimmage (who's job is to stop a sneak, or sack the quarterback), and four linebackers who stand behind the line of scrimmage and aim to stop runners, leaving three more players. I get that corner backs mark the receiver on their side, and then a safety hangs back to pick up any extra receivers, or make a last ditch tackle. What I don't know is how defences choose which line up to use, how many people to blitz with, or what a good defensive shape looks like once the ball's live.
submitted by h2g2_researcher to NFLNoobs [link] [comments]

In need of help

Hello colleagues,
This is my first time ever posting on here, so please bear with me. My personal story goes something like this.
I have always been intrigued by gambling. My dad used to be an avid gambler. Another one of my family members was a big gambler (to the point where she recently had to check herself into rehab for it). Thinking of my childhood, gambling was always present and I always loved the idea of it. I loved learning about the games, the strategies. Seeing how quickly money could be made drew me in. I dabbled occasionally with poker nights, playing black jack with my dad, having contests with NFL games where my dad and I would see who could do better ATS on a weekly basis. It was never a "problem" until recently. He took me straight from one of my high school baseball games to an 18+ casino on my 18th birthday.

I am now 28 years old. I just graduated from medical school and am about to begin the next phase of my training as a resident in neurosurgery. There has been a lot of downtime before we start residency, and one of my friends from back home, who is also a problem gambler, was able to set me up with a gambling account through an online bookie. In the winter, I began betting on a few NBA games here and there, and I was making decent money - couple hundred bucks a week pretty consistently. Soon thereafter, I discovered live betting. This is where the wheels started to fall off. I began betting random sports - tennis, cricket, etc - and started losing. Big. Soon the dollar amount didn't even matter. I kept telling myself that I was smarter than the average gambler, so I was one or two big bets away from getting back within striking distance of even. This was obviously not the case. Chasing these bets did not work, and I kept digging myself deeper and deeper into a hole. This self-destructive pattern has continued and has reached a breaking point for me. I had to ask my dad for a loan for money to pay off gambling debts. I was honest with him about it. He was furious but understood and agreed to help me out, as long as I stopped. I told him I certainly would. Well, my account saw that my betting had slowed down, so offered me a free play credit. This drew me back in, and I lost all of the money he had loaned me. I then had to turn to my mom for a loan as well. I was not as honest with her because I knew if I told her I had been gambling she would be devastated. She lectured me about personal finance until the point hit home but did agree to help out. She point blank asked me if I had been gambling, as she knew it ran in my family, and I lied to her repeatedly.
I am embarrassed. I am having a hard time looking at myself in the mirror. The debt I am in is definitely concerning. However, it is not the debt that troubles me the most. I know I am entering into a high-paying field, so as long as I am able to maximize my training as a resident I will be fortunate enough to eventually achieve financial security. What troubles me the most is the guilt I am feeling - for lying to my parents and trying to cover up the severity of this issue. I am also worried because I do not know how to stop.
Like many of you on this thread, I have a major problem with gambling. I have come to the realization that I cannot beat this disease alone. I am turning to you all for advice. I am ready to change. I know I cannot keep on like this. I know I will never come out on top with gambling. I have demonstrated time and time again that I do not have the self-control to quit when I am ahead and to make reasonable bets. The guilt is eating away at me. I am trying to move forward from this and live my life. I would greatly appreciate some words of advice for how I can make sure this problem truly is put to bed.

Thank you all in advance. Reading some of these threads has been a great inspiration already. I appreciate any help I can get.
submitted by bigdog_6969 to problemgambling [link] [comments]

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submitted by ofagames to u/ofagames [link] [comments]

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

PSSST...HEY...THE NBA IS BACK!

NBA IS BACK
MAC has been anticipating the return of the NBA, and he is looking forward to cashing in winning slips at the end of the season as well! Be sure to take advantage of the incredible deposit bonuses at MyBookie - $1000 First Time Deposit Bonus or $500 Reload Bonus for existing customers!! MyBookie has been the industry standard for US sports betting odds because they supply the very best lines possible!
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2019/2020 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP - ODDS TO WIN

Wager cut off: 2020 31st July 6:00 PM
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +185 - (MAC's #3 PICK , The Lakers will most likely be a huge disappointment this year, too much ego in the locker room, not enough energy to tip the scale towards the competitive collaboration needed too get a chip, but you have to play the odds, and the Lakers at +185 still has some value)
MILWAUKEE BUCKS +275
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +300
BOSTON CELTICS +1200
TORONTO RAPTORS +1400
HOUSTON ROCKETS +1500 - (MAC's #1 Pick, the most underrated team this year, with the squad being led by head coach Mike D’Antoni, all you have to do is watch James Harden & Westbrook make YouTube highlight videos out of teams this year, especially the Lakers)
DENVER NUGGETS +2400
PHILADEPHIA 76ERS +2400
MIAMI HEAT +3300
DALLAS MAVERICKS +3000
UTAH JAZZ +4000
BROOKLYN NETS +5000
INDIANA PACERS +8000
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +8000
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +9000
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +15000
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +17500
ORLANDO MAGIC +17500
SAN ANTONIO SPURS +17500
PHOENIX SUNS +20000 - (MAC's #2 - The MAC will be attentively watching the lines coming out for the Suns this year, the money moving on this from key betting syndicates is a bit suspicious. Look for double digit covers from the Suns, long dog wins, and back door bucket shots to blow the cover in the last 2 minutes of their games)
SACRAMENTO KINGS +25000
WASHINGTON WIZARDS +30000
MAC's is anticipating a horrible season for teams like the Nuggets and the Magic so bad that the NBA might even disband the teams and consolidate the NBA if the money starts showing that it's the thing to do, but MAC is making elevator assumptions. The NBA season odds are a start, the NFL and MLB and NHL are all going to be relying on the outcome and handling of these games.
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submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

NFL Betting with analytics

I developed a proprietary analysis statistic for the NFL. Without going into too much detail, it basically rewards teams for picking up 1st downs efficiently. I tested it out on 2017 and 2018 and found that the team with the higher stat wound up winning 75% of the games. Furthermore, the farther the spread between this stat the higher the odds of predicting the winner.
I decided to test this theory against an application for betting. I'm a novice bettor, so I haven't placed any real wagers yet, as I'm calibrating and ensuring that this methodology works out over the first few weeks before committing real money to it.
Here is my google spreadsheet with my tracking so far, along with picks for week 3. Feel free to use it for your own gain... just know that it's still being tested out. I don't have a great name for my stat yet, so I'm just calling it "Efficiency" or Eff for short.
I'm sharing for feedback and any ideas that you might have to improve on the model. Thanks!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pVdWok-4J2jMd8bTQlBVjJQWv5AwvhCfCf-ll_o7T9c/edit?usp=sharing
A few other notes on how to interpret the file:
  1. I took all odds from the site My Bookie. It isn't a 'sharp' book, so results here may be bigger than your site, but you can grab a copy of it and fill in the new odds to suit your purpose
  2. I decided not to mess with the spread, so all bets are moneyline. Not sure if this limits my winning potential, but I'm not confident enough to use the metric ATS. Largely because I don't have historical data to test it against.
  3. The Week 1 tab has far fewer tabs because I didn't have to blend 2019 results with 2018 to calibrate recent performance.
  4. I'm evaluating several different strategies, using a different Eff point differential for each one. The higher the Eff point spread the 'safer' the bet. This is what the 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 along the top refer to
  5. I've assumed betting the same amount on every game. This may not be optimal, but for now it makes evaluation of the different strategies easier. If anybody has some helpful advice on how to optimize this, I'm happy to hear your ideas. The global bet can be updated in cell A20
  6. The Eff metric is specific to home and away, as it does have a predictive impact. I looked into using defensive Eff in combination with offensive Eff, but it didn't strengthen the prediction so it's not considered.
  7. The Adjusted Eff metric, at this point, is far from perfect. I think ideally it would create an average based on the last 8 games (home and away), continuously updating. Until I get this programmed so that I can do it efficiently I've hacked it by treating every 2018 game as average. Theoretically a team may be trending upward or downward at the end of 2018 and my methodology right now will not capture and reflect this.
  8. You'll notice columns where I 'placed a bet' that don't jive with the rest of the Eff nonsense. This was my attempt at blending the analytics with my own 'know how.' It's pretty obvious that the blind metric does better than me trying to sprinkle in anything I thought I knew
  9. I'd love to try and find ways to capitalize on situations where it might be better to bet on the underdog, but so far no dice.
submitted by immensely_bored to sportsbook [link] [comments]

A bit bored, so I figure I’d type up some tips and advice you’ve probably all heard 100 times. If you’re new, these are the things I wish someone would have told me.

TL;DR at the bottom.
Disclaimer: I’m fairly new at sports betting, but I feel like I’ve learned a lot in a short time. I also don’t make huge bets. I like parlays, and usually bet NFL, NBA, College football only. I have $100 salary PER MONTH, and do this for entertainment. So take what I say with some grains of salt.
  1. The biggest thing I would suggest is to track your bets. All of them. I created a very basic spreadsheet. I enter where I made the bet, how much I put down, and the return. This has helped me control my spending IMMENSELY. Every bet has a visual consequence or reward. If you are wanting to set limits, you would do yourself a disservice to not keep track of each dollar that leaves your wallet. It may seem like “too much work” (what my friends told me), but it has some psychological advantages- at least for me.
  2. TRUST NO ONE BUT YOURSELF. Okay, that’s a bit intense, so let me clarify. We live in a time of information overload. Articles, “experts”, Twitter, etc. sure, they can help and you may make a profit from the advice you glean. However, there is nothing worse than taking blind advice and having it lose. I’m not perfect, I made this mistake today. I had a 5 leg parlay and a guy behind me in the long line said “UCF is a lock for first half -6 today.” I got to talking to him and he convinced me that it was a lock. I threw it in my parlay and hoped for the best. Well, they were down 21-10 at the half (and lost the game as I type this). I felt awful about it. It was a $5 parlay so I’m not complaining by any means, but it was dumb to walk up confidently with my picks and be persuaded by a stranger.
  3. If you sort this sub by “Top posts of all time” you will quickly find stories of people who has given up sports betting. The similarities are very interesting. Two things they have in common are: chasing losses, and poor bankroll management. Thankfully, I have yet to experience this but plan to learn from everyone else’s experiences so I don’t have to! I think there’s a lot of people who have good advice on “bankroll management”, but having some idea of how much you can spend over a period of time, or how much you are going to bet per game is a good start. With my monthly allowance I don’t do “units” as most would suggest. Rather, I have “limits”. I won’t do a parlay over a certain amount, and I won’t make straight bet over a certain amount. Some may say this isn’t a good strategy, but it’s better than no strategy.
Again, I’m far from an expert and I’m new myself. But these are the things I wish I would have committed to doing before making any bets!
TL;DR - Track your bets in some fashion, trust yourself and your gut, and have some commitment to a bankroll management strategy - whatever works for your lifestyle. Feel free to add your own tips or critique mine below.
submitted by dishragJan to sportsbook [link] [comments]

S2E34 - Tanning Bed

NSFW (Mild Language)
Spotify | Apple Podcasts | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | PlayerFM
Kids are smart & dumb. Tax dollars. So many new podcast #1 episodes. Wedding speech advice. How we count on one hand. People turn to marble racing during no sports. NFL Free Agency moves & shake ups. Betting Strategies: The 2-1-2 Betting System. Suzanne Vega & the MP3.
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submitted by MXNBWL to CWFLpodcast [link] [comments]

(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT!

(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT!
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(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT! Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure! Cracking them open and cleaning them out last night, MAC's Red Alerts go 2-1, Penn covered easily as a 8.5 underdog and our Red Alerts are just cash in the bank!
Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
(FEB 29) MAC GOT HIS LAST NIGHT - CBB HUSH MONEY ACTION NOW 36-13 FOR THE SEASON - Getting another win on the Quakers +8.5, MAC's hush money plays are blowing the books open! The Quakers getting 8.5 points against a weak Yale team was just another example of how horrible the odds makers are this year. The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does. Tonight's Hush Money game between Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2 starts at 10:00 and RedAlertWagers.com has the action that makes cash. The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks! Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY on the Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2 Big Sky show down plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions. THE MAC HAS HIS LATE GAME RED ALERT PLAY - 10:00 - Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4 CBB Low Key Game - A 15 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the CBB Action hard and averaging around 60% this year for NBA bettors.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
  • Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
  • Toreros are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Toreros are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Toreros are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Toreros are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
College Basketball Season is how we make money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!! The MAC is cocked, locked, & loaded as he has received what people call the industry standard of advice from national sports syndicates and consensus groups across the country MAC's CBB RED ALERTS are only available on Patreon.com and are included in the 1 Day Red Pass! CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - Cleveland State +8.5 vs Wisc Green Bay -8.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - IPFW +10.5 vs Oral Roberts -10.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4) CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2)
The MAC is attacking today's hoops games with a fury, as he rolls from sportsbook to sportsbook hunting down the very best odds, info, and payouts! Patreon Plays are up and we are moving units and building a March Madness war chest!
As we start moving into March with some great teams making noise this season, the tournaments start opening up, pick'ems, bracket challenges, basketball pools, all the sponsors start looking for professional players to feature at their events and Vegas turns into a sharps dream, MAC will be ripping down every tournament that will grant his entry.
The Red Alert Wagers team has been hitting the sources and making the phones bleed with long hours of networking - Red Alert Plays have been been on fire and make no mistake our Exclusive Releases are incendiary picks, the game is making units for members and proving why they dub the MAC the Paymaster - RedAlertWagers.com plays to win & MAC plays for keeps - For all RedAlertWagers.com special release NBA and College Basketball picks go to Patreon.com/MACSPICKS or try our 1 Day Red Pass for $14.99
Top Rated Special Release Plays by Red Alert Wagers SS Consensus groups were impressive this Football Season, our NFL Major Move Alerts and Early Info Plays cracked bookies open and cleaned them out. College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 69% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. We don't go where the game is, we bring YOU where the money is! - $25 Gets 1 Month Special Release Action + All Red Alert Picks!
(FEB 29) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below! THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - LAST NIGHT'S NBA RED ALERT - Atlanta Hawks +3 was exactly what we excepted - (A mismatch game + A telling line = NBA CASH $) + MAC ATTACK picks go 2-1, it's just what MAC does. March Madness Marathon
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Thursday Night MAC Called the FREE PICK SWEEP, then went 3-0 on Daily MAC ATTACK Picks - Last Night MAC goes 2-1 on MAC ATTACK plays! Hittinb another NHL pick on the under in the Ducks Penguins game (Final 2-3) and smashing another NBA pick on The Hawks + 3 but Missing a fun play parlay - NBA - Miami Heat -4 X CBB - UT Arlington -1 - Look for MAC to get a sweep tonight!
RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon! - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman​ ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action Join the Patreon - Starting @ $7 a month for Premium Red Alert Picks - Or take a 1 day ride with our Instant Access Red Pass - (1 Day Red Pass: $14.99) Red Pass Pay by Phone Access: Call The Red Line - Toll Free @ 1-844-334-2613 Follow Automated Instructions to gain access to our 1 Day Red Pass, once payment verification is confirmed, a access link will be text messaged to your phone, follow the link after payment. (Payments Processed via © Stripe) ****Take a 1 day ride with a RED PASS for $14.99 - All Of Today's Top Rated Plays & Premium Releases - 1 Time Fee - 1 day Access! ****
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!!TOP RATED PREMIUM PLAYS!! Parlay Builder only at MyBookie
**PREMIUM PLAYS**CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - Cleveland State +8.5 vs Wisc Green Bay -8.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - IPFW +10.5 vs Oral Roberts -10.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4) CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2)
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS**
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 29) - (Stony Brook -1)NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 29) - (Depaul +8.5) XFL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 29) - (Seattle Dragons +11.5) **FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS** FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (FEB 29) - (NBA - Golden State Warriors +8.5 X NHL - Winnipeg Jets +130)
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Rams vs Cowboys Week 15 Preview  Free NFL Predictions & Betting Odds NFL Betting Advice: Week 6, 2018 - Against the Spread (ATS), Picks, Over/Under FREE MONEY: NFL Week 5 Betting and Fantasy Football Advice ... FREE MONEY: NFL Week 4 Betting and Fantasy Football Advice ... FREE MONEY: NFL Week 2 Betting and Fantasy Advice - YouTube

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Rams vs Cowboys Week 15 Preview Free NFL Predictions & Betting Odds

NFL Week 6 Picks and Predictions (Every Game on the Board II - Game #s 263-278) - Duration: 23:19. WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips 3,753 views 23:19 Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick, Tips and Prediction 12/15/19 NFL Betting Week 15 - Duration: 3:42. Doc's Sports Picks, Tips and Predictions 1,256 views 3:42 Mitch's Dog of the Day 10/11/20: Free NFL Pick NFL Picks, Predictions and Betting Tips Mitch is BACK with his Dog Of The Day for NFL Sunday https://sportscha... Mitchell Kaminski tells you who to start and who to sit for fantasy and his betting picks for Week 2. Mitchell Kaminski gives his fantasy football and betting advice for week 3 of the NFL.

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